'This esay is devoted so a quite modern issue
namely It taking advantage of turmoil to
foresee the future". From ancient himes man
kind never the " 'time" and how time
management is a new subject for discussion.
The meaning of firmness, unfirmness ,
randomeness and all funs, nowadays
undertook changes and, are confronted to each
other. The concepts of instability and chaos
and the issues that quite preocupied the
researcher's minds.
"Dan Farmer" with due consideration of
"chaos and complexity" is one of the, scholars
who enthusiastically is trying to present a new
methodology for formation of a nonlinear and
foreseen model. When the data are irregular
and complicated formation of a model is the
basic step to be taken" and also it is much
difficult to make use of the evidences to do so.
However, the computation comes to the help
of them to solve the problems.
Farmer believes that although human being
is able to perform very wanderful tasks, he has
few means' and evidences to understand the
non-linear behavior. One of the most
important goals is to determine whether the
sets occurance of phenomena are accidental
or certain.
Farmer bas done some researches about
the capability of "chaos to make better
foresees and also believes that chaos shows
that a certain system, with the help of a few
"firmness" events and by expansion of
unfairness can create some events that could
be regarded as accidental. On the other hand,
what seems to be accidental may really have a
certain structure and if that structure can be
obtained , the short - term foresees are
inevitable. That is why although chaos
indicates short - term foresees, the foreseeing
of long-term issues is beyond it's possibilities.